AI Paradox: Smarter Than Us, Dumber Than Cats

An article we liked from Thought Leader Daniel Jeffries:

Why LLMs are Much Smarter than You and Dumber than Your Cat

And What We Can Do About It - A Blueprint for AGI

These two things are true at the same time:

  • GPT-4/4o, Claude Sonnet 3.5 and Llama 3.1 are infinitely smarter than you.

  • GPT-4/4o, Claude Sonnet 3.5 and Llama 3.1 are much, much dumber than your cat.

How is that even possible?

How can we have a machine that can pass the bar exam, write code, speak 100 languages fluently and yet can't figure out new patterns, forgets what it was doing five minutes ago, and rewrites the exact same function in your code with a different name despite the other function sitting right there under its nose in the same damn file?

The answer will take us on an epic journey across the bleeding edge of modern AI, the entire multi-billion year evolution of life on this planet, and deep into that wonderful lump of grey matter in your skull, the human brain.

It's easy to get swept up in the accelerationist/doomer narrative that the Singularity is near and Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) is just around the corner and it will give us all runaway superpowers or kill us all.

I love the systems we have today. They're limited but they're incredibly useful. They've helped me learn to code at the ripe old age of 48 and they've helped me learn A1 Spanish and they rapidly find answers to hard questions for me via RAG and search enabled LLMs. I used to use Google first for everything and now I use Perplexity 80% of the time and only do deep searches on Google when I need to crawl through results myself manually using my human common sense and intuition to find the answer.

But they're still limited.

If you work with the modern marvels of Claude Sonnet 3.5 or GPT 4o or Qwen 2 (and don't get me wrong, these little machines are marvelous) it doesn't take long for the illusion of super intelligence to wear off.

If you want to understand the limits of AI today, try to…

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